Rodrik: New Economic Playbook Needed for Climate, Middle Class & Poverty
Rodrik Calls for New Economic Strategy in Fractured World

The Urgent Need for Economic Reinvention

In a world grappling with multiple crises, renowned economist Dani Rodrik proposes a fundamental rethink of our economic strategies. The Harvard professor contends that traditional approaches are failing to address three critical challenges: climate change, the erosion of the middle class, and persistent poverty.

Rodrik identifies these issues as interconnected threats to global stability. Climate change represents an existential environmental danger, middle-class decline fuels political polarization and undermines democratic institutions, while poverty remains a moral failure of our economic systems.

Learning from China's Green Success Story

Rodrik points to China's renewable energy policies as a model for effective industrial strategy. While economists traditionally favored carbon taxes as the most efficient emission-reduction method, China's green industrial policies have achieved spectacular results through local implementation of national goals.

These policies have dramatically reduced costs for solar power, wind energy, and electric batteries, making renewable energy more affordable than fossil fuels. The approach combines subsidies with other tools including procurement policies and public venture capital, characterized by experimentation rather than rigid top-down planning.

Beyond Manufacturing: The Services Sector Solution

A critical insight in Rodrik's analysis is that manufacturing can no longer serve as the primary engine of job creation. Due to automation and global competition, manufacturing has become a labor-shedding sector despite its continued importance for supply chain resilience and national security.

The solution lies in focusing on services for creating productive, middle-class jobs. Rodrik highlights successful subnational experiments where partnerships between government agencies, private sector players, and civic groups are driving meaningful economic transformations through iterative collaboration.

These initiatives combine public inputs like skills training, business extension services, regulatory assistance, and infrastructure development with targeted subsidies to identify new opportunities and overcome constraints.

A New Approach to Technology and Labor

Rodrik emphasizes the need for national governments to steer innovation in more worker-friendly directions. While digital technologies have transformed service industries like retail, warehousing, and logistics, corporations often use these tools to monitor workers rather than empower them.

He calls for dedicated public efforts to develop technologies that enhance worker autonomy in traditionally low-paying sectors such as care work, retail, and food services—similar to the public investment that drove renewable energy advances.

The Biden administration's "challenges" approach, where local development agencies competed for federal funding, offers one promising model. However, Rodrik notes these programs were dwarfed by manufacturing-focused initiatives like the CHIPS and Science Act and the Inflation Reduction Act.

Rodrik concludes that while the challenges are formidable, solutions are within reach. What's needed isn't revolution but strategic reconfiguration of priorities and policies that acknowledge the realities of domestic politics and limited global cooperation while pursuing more effective, locally-grounded approaches to our most pressing economic problems.