Indian Stock Market Outlook: Cautious Start Amid Global Trade Uncertainties
Indian Stock Market: Cautious Start Amid Global Uncertainties

The Indian stock market is poised for a cautious opening today. Global trade uncertainties, fueled by aggressive U.S. tariff policies, are creating a risk-off mood across markets. This sentiment is putting pressure on investor confidence.

Key Factors Weighing on Market Sentiment

Several factors are contributing to the cautious atmosphere. Heightened geopolitical tensions are adding to the uncertainty. Persistent selling by foreign investors is another concern. The continued weakness of the Indian rupee is also weighing on market sentiment. These elements are likely to limit any significant upside in domestic equities, even during short-term recovery phases.

However, there is a stabilizing force at play. Steady buying from domestic institutional investors is helping to absorb selling pressure. This activity is preventing deeper market declines and providing crucial support.

Expert Analysis on Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty

Vaishali Parekh, Vice President of Technical Research at Prabhudas Lilladher, shared her insights. She believes the overall market sentiment remains cautiously positive. This is because the Nifty 50 index is holding above the important 25,500 support level.

Nifty 50 Technical Outlook

Parekh explained the index's recent movement. "The Nifty 50 opened weak with a significant gap down," she noted. "It then consolidated near the 25,500 level, sustaining that key support zone. Later in the session, we saw some revival, closing near 25,600."

She emphasized crucial technical levels. The index has immediate support at 25,500. On the upside, resistance is positioned at 25,800. For a stronger bullish trend, the index needs to break above the 50-DEMA resistance at 25,900. If it falls below 25,500, it could test the 200-DEMA support around 25,000.

Bank Nifty Technical Outlook

Turning to the banking index, Parekh observed continued range-bound movement. "The Bank Nifty is seeing some profit booking again," she stated. "It is moving within a defined range."

The index faces tough resistance near the 60,250 zone. On the downside, important support lies at the 50EMA level near 58,900. A decisive break above 60,400 is needed to trigger a fresh upward move. The daily range is expected between 59,500 and 60,500.

Intraday Stock Recommendations from Vaishali Parekh

For today's trading session, Parekh recommended three stocks for consideration:

  1. Zydus Lifesciences: Buy at ₹6,407, target ₹6,650, stop loss ₹6,300.
  2. Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services: Buy at ₹360.60, target ₹376, stop loss ₹353.
  3. MGL: Buy at ₹1,098, target ₹1,160, stop loss ₹1,075.

Precious Metals Update

In early Asian trade, precious metals showed strong movement. COMEX silver prices climbed to a new peak of $94.740 per ounce. By 7:15 AM, silver was trading at $93.753, marking a gain of approximately 5.90% from Monday's close.

COMEX gold also opened with an upside gap and extended early gains. At 7:15 AM, gold was trading at $4,678.86 per ounce, up around 1.80% from its previous close.

Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only. The views and recommendations are those of the individual analyst. Investors should consult certified experts before making any investment decisions.