Kolkata: West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee has firmly stuck to her earlier claim that the Trinamool Congress (TMC) would win at least 226 seats in the ongoing assembly elections, despite exit polls indicating a slight edge for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). Speaking to reporters on Thursday, Banerjee expressed confidence in her party's performance and dismissed the exit poll projections as inaccurate.
Pre-Poll Prediction Reiterated
Banerjee had stated ahead of the elections that the TMC would secure a minimum of 226 seats in the 294-member assembly. This prediction was based on what she described as the party's strong grassroots connect and developmental work. Despite the release of several exit polls showing a close contest and even a marginal lead for the BJP in some scenarios, the Chief Minister remained unflinching in her stance. She argued that exit polls often fail to capture the true mood of the voters, especially in a state like West Bengal where political dynamics are complex.
Exit Polls Paint Mixed Picture
Most exit polls released after the final phase of voting on Wednesday have projected a tight race between the TMC and the BJP. While some surveys give the TMC a narrow advantage, others suggest the BJP could emerge as the single largest party. However, none of the polls have predicted the TMC reaching the 226-seat mark. Political analysts note that such a high target would require the TMC to win nearly 77% of the seats, a feat that seems ambitious given the current electoral landscape.
The BJP has also expressed confidence in its performance, with state party leaders claiming that the exit polls validate their campaign efforts. However, Banerjee dismissed these claims, stating that the actual results, due on May 2, would surprise many.
TMC's Campaign Strategy
The TMC's campaign focused heavily on welfare schemes and infrastructure projects initiated under Banerjee's leadership. The party also sought to counter the BJP's narrative on issues like corruption and law and order. Banerjee personally led the campaign, addressing over 100 rallies across the state. She also highlighted the alleged misuse of central agencies by the BJP government to target opposition leaders, a theme that resonated with many voters.
Reactions from Political Rivals
The BJP has termed Banerjee's 226-seat claim as unrealistic. Senior BJP leader and Union Minister Amit Shah had earlier said that the party would form the next government in West Bengal. The Left Front and Congress, contesting in alliance, have also dismissed the TMC's projections, arguing that the people are disillusioned with both major parties.
As the counting day approaches, all eyes are on whether Mamata Banerjee's confidence translates into victory or if the exit polls prove to be more accurate. The final verdict will be known on May 2.
First Published: 30 April 2026, 16:20 IST
