The past week witnessed a dramatic series of statements and policy moves involving former US President Donald Trump, Prime Minister Narendra Modi, and global geopolitics, centered on trade, alliances, and India's strategic autonomy.
Trump's Volatile Stance on India and China
Former US President Donald Trump initially expressed discontent, suggesting the United States had "lost" India to China, a comment perceived as criticism of India's foreign policy orientation. This was quickly followed by a significant reversal, where Trump asserted that "Modi & I will always be friends," marking a stunning U-turn. However, the diplomatic whiplash continued as Trump, reacting to India's engagements at the SCO summit, reportedly 'declared war' by threatening to slap an additional 25% tariffs on Indian goods. This move was framed as a response to India's refusal to snub Russian President Vladimir Putin and reject imports of Russian oil.
Modi's Diplomatic Moves at the SCO Summit
Against this backdrop, Prime Minister Narendra Modi participated in the SCO summit, engaging with leaders including Russia's Vladimir Putin and China's Xi Jinping. The bonhomie displayed among the three leaders was noted as a significant diplomatic moment. Modi used the platform to critique "selfish economies" and their policies, a remark widely interpreted as a pointed response to Trump's tariff threats and protectionist stance. This demonstrated India's firm commitment to its independent foreign policy and national interest, particularly in continuing energy imports from Russia despite Western pressure.
Escalating Tensions and Domestic Developments
The friction extended beyond statements. Trump's trade adviser reportedly expressed rage over the SCO dynamics, calling it a 'shame'. Reports also indicated that Trump's administration, angered by India's defiance on Russian oil, had given Delhi a 24-hour ultimatum to stop purchases or face consequences, highlighting the intense pressure campaign. Meanwhile, on the domestic front, PM Modi made his first visit to Jammu & Kashmir after the Pahalgam terror attack, declaring that Pakistan had attacked "Kashmiriyat." In a tragic incident in Sikkim, a landslide triggered by the swelling River Teesta hit an Army camp, killing 3 personnel and leaving 6 missing. In international forums, Congress leader Shashi Tharoor mocked Pakistan's stance on Kashmir during a speech in Guyana.
Analysis and Implications
The week's events underscore the fragile nature of international relations in a multipolar world. India's strategic balancing act—maintaining historic ties with Russia, managing a complex relationship with China, and navigating a partnership with the US—was put under a glaring spotlight. The volatile nature of political discourse in the US, especially from a figure likely to contest the next election, adds a layer of uncertainty for Indian diplomacy. India's clear messaging at the SCO and its refusal to bend on energy security illustrate a confident foreign policy driven by pragmatic economic needs and strategic sovereignty. The coming months will test the resilience of these positions as global trade and geopolitical tensions continue to simmer.
