Mumbai's upcoming civic body elections are witnessing an unprecedented surge in the number of contestants, particularly in specific pockets of the city. Data from the nomination process reveals a complex electoral battlefield, with a high concentration of candidates in areas with homogeneous voter bases.
Wards with Over 15 Candidates Each
An analysis of the nominations shows that 18 electoral wards in Mumbai have 15 or more candidates each, significantly increasing the complexity of the contest. In a striking development, six of these wards have seen the number of contestants exceed the limit of 16 candidates per ballot unit. This fragmentation includes a mix of independent candidates, alongside those from national parties, regional outfits, and smaller political formations.
Notably, some of these smaller parties have limited organisational presence in Mumbai but wield influence in other states. While this multitude of choices might seem to intensify democratic competition, political analysts caution that it often ends up working to the advantage of larger, more established political parties.
Why the Proliferation? Experts Weigh In
Professor Mrudul Nile from the Department of Political Science at Mumbai University points to several reasons for this candidate boom. He attributes it to the internal factions within various parties and the political fragmentation of some communities. "Bigger parties also field proxy candidates sometimes with the same names," Nile explained.
He further noted that in areas dominated by homogeneous, socio-economically disadvantaged groups, every party feels compelled to field its candidate. "Some contest to ensure their candidature is considered for the next elections," he said. Nile emphasized that at this juncture, it is difficult for independents or lesser-known candidates to get elected, and a large candidate pool ultimately helps major parties. "Aspirations among the lower socio-economic groups also leads to an increased number of candidates," he added.
Political Aspirations and Electoral Calculations
Echoing this sentiment, political scientist Surendra Jondhale highlighted the growing political aspirations among citizens. "People with a bit of money and net worth consider contesting elections, while some look at it as a tool to earn money," Jondhale stated. He also pointed to a troubling trend: "Many also think that they can buy votes in slum pockets to get elected even if they do not secure tickets from parties."
Bhiwandi MLA Rais Shaikh provided insight into the mindset of candidates from disadvantaged backgrounds. He argued that for socio-economically disadvantaged groups, the stakes in such elections are perceived to be much higher. "For some of these candidates, contesting polls is a way of getting recognition," Shaikh said, framing the election as a platform for social and political visibility beyond just winning.
This explosion of candidates, concentrated in wards comprising slum clusters, Dalit-dominated neighbourhoods, and Muslim pockets, sets the stage for a highly fragmented vote. The outcome will test whether this diversity in choice truly empowers local communities or simply dilutes the opposition to benefit Mumbai's established political giants.
