Super Bowl LX Preview: Seahawks vs Patriots Rematch with 4.5-Point Spread
Super Bowl LX: Seahawks vs Patriots Rematch Analysis & Odds

Super Bowl LX Showdown: Seahawks vs Patriots Rematch Set for February 2026

The stage is set for an epic NFL championship rematch as Super Bowl LX will be played on February 8, 2026, at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California. The Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots will meet again on football's biggest stage, recreating their memorable Super Bowl XLIX encounter from over a decade prior. Both franchises have navigated challenging seasons to reach this pinnacle moment, each finishing the regular campaign with identical 14-3 records before maintaining that dominance throughout the playoffs.

Betting Markets and Current Odds Analysis

Sportsbooks have established the Seattle Seahawks as clear favorites heading into Super Bowl LX, primarily due to their formidable defensive unit and well-balanced offensive attack. The New England Patriots enter the championship game as underdogs, with most analysts predicting a defensive battle rather than a high-scoring offensive showcase.

Current betting lines as of February 8, 2026:

  • Point Spread: Seahawks -4.5 (odds ranging from -115 to -118), Patriots +4.5 (odds ranging from -102 to +100)
  • Moneyline: Seahawks approximately -235 to -238, Patriots +190 to +195
  • Total Points: 45.5 (Over -108 to -110, Under -110 to -112)

A $100 wager on Seattle to cover the spread would return nearly even money, while a $100 bet on New England to win outright would yield approximately $190 to $195 if successful. The spread has remained remarkably stable near 4.5 points since the conference championship games concluded, indicating consistent confidence in Seattle's capabilities while acknowledging New England's proven competitiveness in high-stakes situations.

Team Performance and Season Results

Both championship contenders enter Super Bowl LX with identical 17-3 overall records after perfect playoff runs. The Seattle Seahawks, representing the NFC, have demonstrated exceptional consistency throughout their campaign.

Seattle Seahawks Analysis:

The Seahawks' offense is quarterbacked by Sam Darnold, who has maintained exceptional ball security during the postseason while effectively distributing passes to receivers Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Stefon Diggs, alongside running back Kenneth Walker III. Defensively, Seattle ranks among the league's elite in points allowed and limiting explosive plays. Their defensive line generates consistent pressure without relying heavily on blitz packages, which could prove particularly significant against a Patriots offensive line that has experienced pass protection difficulties.

New England Patriots Analysis:

The AFC champion Patriots are guided by quarterback Drake Maye, whose mobility and play-extension abilities have been instrumental throughout their playoff journey. However, Maye has absorbed numerous sacks this season, and offensive line concerns have persisted. Defensively, New England showed marked improvement during the latter portion of the season but hasn't encountered an offense as balanced as Seattle's during their postseason run.

Recent Form and Statistical Trends

Seahawks' Recent Performance:

Seattle enters the Super Bowl riding a six-game winning streak, including:

  1. NFC Championship: 31-27 victory over the Rams as 2.5-point favorites
  2. Divisional Round: 41-6 triumph over the 49ers as 7-point favorites
  3. Wild Card: 13-3 road win at San Francisco as 2.5-point favorites

The Seahawks averaged 28.3 points during these playoff contests while allowing just 12.0 points per game. All three postseason matchups finished under the total points line.

Patriots' Recent Performance:

New England has won four consecutive games both straight-up and against the spread, including a crucial AFC Championship road victory over the Broncos. The Patriots have averaged between 24 and 26 points per game during the postseason, relying more on sustained drives than explosive scoring plays.

Key statistical trend: Seattle held opponents to 14 points or fewer in ten regular-season games, while New England has frequently struggled to exceed 24 points against elite defensive units.

Projections and Winning Probability Assessment

Most betting markets and analytical projections favor the Seattle Seahawks, with many experts anticipating a victory margin exceeding one possession. Common score predictions include:

  • Seahawks 27, Patriots 17
  • Seahawks 24, Patriots 13
  • Seahawks 27, Patriots 23

The primary reasoning centers on Seattle's defensive superiority, particularly their ability to pressure Drake Maye and contain big plays, combined with Sam Darnold's efficient game management during the postseason. New England's path to victory requires several favorable developments, including Maye avoiding turnovers and sacks, controlling field position, and capitalizing on Seattle's potential mistakes.

Prop Bets and Specialized Wagering Opportunities

Sportsbooks have released extensive proposition betting markets for Super Bowl LX:

Game Props:

  • Total Points (45.5): Both teams' defensive strengths suggest an under lean, particularly given Seattle's recent postseason trends
  • Coin Toss: Both heads and tails priced near -105, though historical trends offer limited predictive value

Player Props:

  • Sam Darnold Passing Yards: Line approximately 231.5 yards
  • Drake Maye Passing Yards: Line near 224.5 yards
  • Kenneth Walker III Rushing Yards: Line about 71.5 yards
  • Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards: Line near 48.5 yards
  • Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards: Line roughly 93.5 yards
  • Hunter Henry Receiving Yards: Line around 44.5 yards

Touchdown Scorer Props:

  • Kenneth Walker III: Anytime touchdown approximately -185, two or more touchdowns +270
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime touchdown near -105, two or more touchdowns +550
  • Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime touchdown around +150, two or more touchdowns +900

Betting Strategy and Live Wagering Considerations

Straight Bet Recommendations:

Moneyline wagers on Seattle reflect their advantages, though New England at approximately +190 offers appeal for bettors anticipating a closely contested game. The 4.5-point spread presents challenges given New England's consistent covering ability, making alternate spreads or live betting opportunities potentially more attractive. The under at 45.5 points aligns with both teams' defensive profiles and Seattle's recent postseason results.

Prop Bet Strategy:

Defensive trends support markets including under total points, under Drake Maye passing yards, and under Rhamondre Stevenson rushing yards. Player-focused options with reasonable outlooks include Stefon Diggs over receiving yards, Kenneth Walker anytime touchdown, and Hunter Henry over receiving yards.

Live Betting Angles:

If Seattle establishes an early lead, live under wagers and inflated Patriots moneyline odds could present value opportunities. Should the game remain competitive into the second half, a shorter live Seattle moneyline might appeal to those anticipating a late-game advantage.

Championship Game Outlook and Final Analysis

Super Bowl LX brings together two franchises with matching records but divergent expectations. The Seattle Seahawks enter as favorites due to defensive excellence, offensive balance, and impressive playoff performances. The 4.5-point spread and 45.5 total points line suggest a controlled, defensive-oriented contest rather than an offensive shootout.

The championship outcome will likely hinge on Drake Maye's ability to handle Seattle's pass rush while generating sufficient offensive production. Should Maye struggle under pressure, Sam Darnold and the Seahawks appear well-positioned to secure the Lombardi Trophy in this highly anticipated championship rematch.