Ex-Singapore Diplomat Blames Military for Pakistan's Crisis
Pakistan is teetering on the brink of failure, and its crisis stems from the country's military, according to former Singapore diplomat Bilahari Kausikan. In a recent interview, Kausikan stated that the military's outsized role in politics and the economy has crippled the nation's development and stability.
Military's Dominance Undermines Institutions
Kausikan, who served as Singapore's ambassador to several countries and is now a senior fellow at the National University of Singapore, argued that the Pakistani military has systematically undermined civilian institutions. He noted that the military has ruled Pakistan directly for about half of its history and continues to wield significant influence even during civilian governments. This has led to weak governance, corruption, and an inability to address pressing issues such as terrorism and economic stagnation.
Economic and Security Challenges Mount
Pakistan faces severe economic challenges, including high inflation, a large current account deficit, and dwindling foreign reserves. The country has also struggled with terrorism and extremism, with the military's policies often criticized for being counterproductive. Kausikan pointed out that the military's focus on India as a primary threat has diverted resources from internal development and contributed to regional instability.
International Implications of Pakistan's Decline
The potential failure of Pakistan has significant implications for regional and global security. As a nuclear-armed state, any collapse could lead to the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and provide safe havens for terrorist groups. Kausikan emphasized that the international community must pay attention to Pakistan's trajectory and encourage genuine civilian control over the military.
Comparison with Other Failing States
Drawing parallels with other failing states, Kausikan noted that Pakistan's situation is unique due to its nuclear arsenal and strategic location. He suggested that without fundamental reforms, Pakistan could follow the path of countries like Afghanistan or Yemen, with devastating consequences for its people and the region.
Need for Civilian Supremacy
To avert disaster, Kausikan called for the establishment of civilian supremacy over the military. He argued that only by reducing the military's political and economic power can Pakistan build resilient institutions and address its myriad challenges. He also stressed the importance of international pressure and support for democratic processes in Pakistan.
Historical Context of Military Rule
Pakistan has experienced multiple military coups since its independence in 1947, with generals ruling for extended periods. The military has also built a vast economic empire, controlling businesses in sectors from banking to real estate. This has created a powerful vested interest in maintaining the status quo, making reform difficult.
Conclusion: A Call for Change
In conclusion, Kausikan's analysis paints a grim picture of Pakistan's future unless the military's grip on power is broken. He urged both domestic and international actors to work towards a Pakistan where civilian institutions are strong and accountable, and where the military focuses on its constitutional role of defending the country rather than running it.
