Chandigarh Braces for Dry, Warmer February After Wet January
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued its latest monthly weather outlook for Chandigarh, painting a contrasting picture for February following an exceptionally wet January. The city, which recorded a staggering 69% above normal rainfall last month, is now likely to witness below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures throughout February.
Rainfall Deficit and Temperature Rise Expected
According to the IMD forecast, Chandigarh's February rainfall may remain below 78% of the long-period average. This is particularly significant as February typically contributes substantially to the region's winter precipitation. The projected shortfall raises important considerations from both weather monitoring and water management perspectives.
On the temperature front, both minimum and maximum readings are expected to stay above normal for most of the month. Minimum temperatures are likely to remain elevated, indicating milder nights and reduced cold conditions. Correspondingly, the number of cold wave days is anticipated to be below normal. Maximum temperatures are also projected to be above normal, suggesting an early transition toward spring-like weather patterns.
Climatic Drivers and Current Conditions
Meteorologists attribute this weather pattern partly to La Niña conditions over the equatorial Pacific Ocean. These conditions are currently active but are expected to gradually weaken toward neutral levels by late winter. Meanwhile, neutral Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) conditions are projected to continue, influencing regional climate dynamics.
Despite the forecast for a rain-deficient February, the month began with 0.9 mm of light rain recorded on Saturday. From January 1 until now, Chandigarh has received an impressive 96.1 mm of rainfall, which represents 150.9% above normal precipitation levels for this period.
Recent Weather Patterns and Short-Term Forecast
Temperatures remained comfortable on Saturday, with a maximum reading of 21.7°C (1°C above normal) and a minimum of 11°C (2°C above normal). The IMD's local forecast indicates a partly cloudy sky tomorrow, followed by four consecutive days of mostly clear weather conditions.
This weather outlook suggests residents should prepare for drier conditions and warmer temperatures than typically expected during February, while water resource managers may need to account for reduced winter precipitation in their planning.
