Saudi Arabia Forecasts Warmer, Drier Ramadan for Pilgrims in Makkah and Madinah
Pilgrims traveling to the Two Holy Mosques during the upcoming Ramadan should brace for warmer days and minimal rainfall, according to a new climate outlook from Saudi Arabia's National Centre for Meteorology. The preliminary forecast for Ramadan 1447H indicates above-average temperatures and below-normal precipitation in both Makkah and Madinah throughout the holy month.
Seasonal Monitoring Supports Pilgrim Preparedness
This forecast is part of the centre's ongoing seasonal monitoring initiatives, which are specifically designed to enhance preparedness and operational planning. Authorities serving worshippers during Ramadan can use this information to better anticipate and manage weather-related challenges, ensuring a smoother experience for visitors.
Temperatures Expected to Rise Above Norms
According to the National Centre for Meteorology, temperatures in Makkah and Madinah are projected to exceed their seasonal averages. In Makkah, maximum temperatures could increase by approximately 1°C above the historical average, while in Madinah, the rise might reach up to 1.2°C above average.
Historically, average temperatures during Ramadan are around 26.8°C in Makkah and 23.1°C in Madinah. With these projected increases, daytime conditions are likely to feel noticeably warmer, especially during peak afternoon hours, potentially affecting outdoor activities and comfort for pilgrims.
Rainfall Forecasted to Be Below Average
Rainfall levels in both cities are also expected to fall below the normal monthly averages. Typically, Ramadan sees about 4.2 mm of rainfall in Makkah and 4.3 mm in Madinah. The centre has indicated that any precipitation during the holy month will likely be categorized as light rainfall, suggesting limited chances of significant rain events and modest total amounts throughout the period.
Enhancing Operational Readiness for Authorities
The meteorology authority emphasized that this seasonal outlook aims to support preparedness planning and operational readiness, particularly for entities involved in serving visitors to the Two Holy Mosques during Ramadan. By providing early climate projections, the centre helps relevant bodies anticipate weather conditions and adjust their services accordingly, from crowd management to health and safety measures.
The National Centre for Meteorology has encouraged the public to follow its accredited and official channels for updated weather reports and periodic climate briefings as Ramadan approaches, ensuring that pilgrims and residents stay informed about any changes in the forecast.



