Bihar Exit Polls 2025: A Resounding Victory for NDA
The highly anticipated exit poll results for the Bihar Assembly Elections 2025, released on Tuesday, November 11, paint a clear picture of a dominant performance by the Nitish Kumar and BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA). The polls, conducted after the conclusion of the second phase of voting, forecast a clean sweep for the ruling coalition, positioning it for a comfortable majority in the 243-seat assembly.
Jan Suraaj's Uphill Battle: A Distant Debut
In stark contrast to the NDA's projected success, the political debut of Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraaj Party appears to be a challenging one. Most exit poll agencies predict the party will secure only single-digit seats, with some even suggesting it may fail to open its account.
Matrize exit polls forecast a modest tally of five seats for Jan Suraaj. Other agencies offered more conservative estimates: People's Insight and People's Pulse both pegged the party's potential wins at 0-2 seats. Dainik Bhaskar's exit poll suggested the party might not win any seats at all. Slightly more optimistic projections came from DVC Research and P-Marq, which predicted 2-4 seats and 1-4 seats respectively.
NDA's Projected Landslide and Mahagathbandhan's Struggle
The collective voice of the exit polls resonates with a strong mandate for the NDA. Here is a breakdown of the seat projections from various agencies:
- People Pulse: NDA 133-159 seats; Mahagathbandhan 75-101 seats.
- Dainik Bhaskar: NDA 145-160 seats; Mahagathbandhan 73-91 seats.
- DVC Research: NDA 137-152 seats; Mahagathbandhan 83-98 seats.
- Matrize: NDA 147–167 seats; Mahagathbandhan 70–90 seats.
- People's Insight: NDA 133–148 seats; Mahagathbandhan 87–102 seats, predicting the return of Nitish Kumar as Chief Minister.
Record Voter Turnout in Bihar Elections
The electoral process itself was marked by significant public participation. The Bihar Assembly Elections 2025 concluded on Tuesday, November 11, with a record turnout. The second phase witnessed an impressive 67.14% voter turnout as of 5 pm, according to the Election Commission.
Districts like Kishanganj led with a massive 76.26% turnout, followed closely by Katihar (75.23%) and Purnia (73.79%). The first phase of polling on November 6 also set a record with 65.08% polling. All political parties, including Jan Suraaj, had interpreted the high voter engagement as a positive sign for their prospects.
The final verdict will be known when the Election Commission of India declares the results on Friday, November 14, after the counting of votes begins on the same day.
