In a stunning electoral outcome that matched his own prediction, political strategist Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraaj Party (JSP) failed to win a single seat in the Bihar Assembly Elections of 2025. The party's complete wipeout came exactly as Kishor had forecasted weeks before the polls, while the ruling NDA alliance secured a massive victory across the state.
The Prediction That Came True
Two weeks before voters went to the polls, Prashant Kishor made a bold declaration during an exclusive conversation with IndiaToday. The political strategist turned party leader stated that his Jan Suraaj Party would either secure fewer than 10 seats or more than 150, with no middle ground possible. He explained that if people took a leap of faith, all political equations would be proven wrong, but if they didn't, his party might win fewer than 10 seats.
Kishor's lower-end prediction proved remarkably accurate. His party contested 238 seats but by the close of counting on November 14, 2025, the JSP had no leads whatsoever. Despite showing early promise with initial leads in four constituencies, the party's momentum quickly faded as counting progressed throughout the day.
NDA's Dominant Performance
While Kishor's political venture struggled, the ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA) demonstrated its continued dominance in Bihar politics. Led by the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and Nitish Kumar's Janata Dal (United), and strengthened by allies including Chirag Paswan's Lok Janshakti Party, the NDA raced toward a sweeping victory.
The counting process revealed the alliance's overwhelming strength. Remarkably, just over an hour into counting at 9:16 am, the BJP-JDU bloc had already exceeded the majority threshold of 122 seats. By 9:50 am, they had crossed 150 seats, indicating the possibility of outright dominance in the 243-member Bihar Assembly. By 11:30 am during the counting process, the alliance was leading in 190 seats, matching pre-election expectations of a massive win.
What This Means for Bihar's Political Future
The election results raise crucial questions about Prashant Kishor's political strategy and ambitions. While his prediction proved accurate, his vision of transforming Bihar's political landscape through a third force remains unfulfilled. The complete failure to win any seats suggests that despite extensive campaigning and discussion about Bihar's development issues, voters were not ready to embrace his new political alternative.
The NDA's decisive victory underscores its strong hold on Bihar's electorate and further diminishes the immediate relevance of emerging challengers like the JSP. Exit polls had largely anticipated this outcome, with several surveys predicting that Kishor's fledgling outfit would perform poorly. One survey from People's Pulse had projected the JSP could win nearly 10 percent of the vote - more than the Congress - which would have represented a promising debut, but the party's vote share ultimately failed to translate into any seats.
For Prashant Kishor, who built his reputation as a successful political strategist for various parties before launching his own political venture, the results will likely necessitate a thorough reassessment of his approach ahead of any future electoral attempts. The Bihar verdict clearly indicates that breaking established political patterns requires more than strategic insight and campaign rhetoric.
