Assam is heading into the counting of votes for all 126 assembly constituencies, with the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) aiming for a third consecutive term in office. The opposition Congress is hoping to stage a comeback after consecutive defeats. The counting process will commence at 8 am, and early trends are expected within a few hours.
Exit Polls Indicate NDA Edge
Most exit polls have projected a comfortable majority for the BJP-led alliance, with the Congress trailing significantly. However, political parties have cautioned that final results may differ from survey predictions. Regional factors and constituency-level dynamics are expected to play a crucial role in determining the actual outcome.
Large Candidate Pool in Fray
A total of 722 candidates are contesting across the state, reflecting the scale and intensity of the electoral battle. The BJP leads in the number of nominations, followed by the Congress, the All India United Democratic Front (AIUDF), and a mix of regional and smaller parties. Additionally, 258 Independent candidates are in the fray, adding further complexity to the contest. The presence of multiple candidates in several constituencies could influence vote splits and impact final margins.
Key Leaders and High-Stakes Contests
Several prominent leaders are contesting in this election, making it a high-stakes battle in many constituencies. Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma remains a central figure, while Congress leader Gaurav Gogoi is also under close watch. Other notable candidates include Debabrata Saikia, Badruddin Ajmal, Akhil Gogoi, Atul Bora, and Keshab Mahanta. Their performance is expected to play a significant role in shaping the overall political outcome in the state.
Crucial Constituencies to Watch
A number of constituencies are expected to be decisive in determining the final results. Jalukbari, represented by Himanta Biswa Sarma, remains a key BJP stronghold in Guwahati. Jorhat has emerged as a closely contested seat, with Congress leader Gaurav Gogoi leading the challenge. Nazira in Sivasagar is known for narrow margins and strong political legacy, associated with Debabrata Saikia. Sivasagar itself continues to be a crucial grassroots battleground, particularly with Akhil Gogoi's presence. In the capital region, Dispur stands out as an important urban constituency with administrative significance. Other key seats include Golaghat, Bokakhat, Kaliabor, Barchalla, and Rupahihat, all of which could influence the broader electoral picture.
Coalition Dynamics in Focus
Assam's current assembly reflects a coalition structure, with the BJP holding 64 seats and supported by allies such as the Asom Gana Parishad (AGP), United People's Party Liberal (UPPL), and Bodoland People's Front (BPF). Since its breakthrough in 2016, the BJP has emerged as the dominant political force in the state, but it has often relied on alliances to secure a governing majority. This election will test whether the party can consolidate its position further or continue to depend on coalition support.
Outcome to Test BJP's Dominance
The 2026 assembly election results will be crucial in determining whether the BJP can translate its electoral strength into a standalone majority or if the opposition can regain ground. With identity issues, welfare measures, and regional dynamics influencing voter behavior, the verdict is expected to have significant implications for Assam's political trajectory in the coming years.
Key Highlights
- Counting to begin for 126 constituencies across Assam
- Exit polls project a comfortable lead for BJP-led NDA
- Over 700 candidates in fray, including several key political figures
- Crucial battleground seats expected to influence final outcome
- Verdict to test BJP's dominance and opposition's comeback chances
