US Replaces H-1B Visa Lottery with Wage-Based Selection: Major Impact for Indian Professionals
US H-1B Visa Rules Changed: Lottery Ends, Wage-Based Selection Starts

The United States has unveiled a transformative reform of its H-1B work visa programme, signalling one of the most substantial shifts in the system's recent history. The administration led by President Donald Trump has introduced new regulations that will scrap the decades-old random lottery system. In its place, a new selection framework will prioritise foreign professionals based on their wage levels and specialised skills.

What Are the New H-1B Visa Rules?

Announced on Tuesday, December 23, 2025, the final rule from the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) fundamentally alters how H-1B visas are allocated. The cornerstone of the change is the elimination of the computer-generated random lottery, which was used when applications surpassed the annual cap. This system will be replaced by a merit-based process where preference is given to applicants offering higher skill levels and commanding higher wages.

The U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS), which manages the programme, stated the move is designed to better protect American workers and their wages. In a post on social media platform X, the official @USCIS account echoed the administration's stance, saying, "For too long, the H-1B program has failed to meet Congress’ intent." The new framework is set to apply to the H-1B cap registration process for the fiscal year 2027, giving employers and potential applicants a limited window to adapt.

Why End the H-1B Lottery System?

For years, the H-1B programme has been oversubscribed. The US issues 65,000 visas under the regular annual cap, with an additional 20,000 reserved for holders of advanced degrees from US institutions. However, demand has consistently far exceeded this supply. Critics, including the current administration, argued that the random lottery was a blunt instrument that did not align with the actual needs of the US labour market or ensure the selection of the most valuable candidates.

According to the DHS, the revised, weighted selection system aims to ensure visas are awarded to individuals who bring the greatest economic value and specialised expertise to the American workforce. A central justification cited is the protection of wage standards and job opportunities for domestic workers. USCIS officials have supported the reform, noting it aligns visa allocation more closely with economic demand and seeks to curb perceived misuse of the registration system.

Broader Context and Impact on Indian Applicants

This H-1B overhaul is part of a broader series of measures by the Trump administration to tighten work-related immigration. Over recent years, the government has made qualifying for these visas more difficult, increased scrutiny on petitioning companies, and raised visa fees significantly. The administration contends these steps ensure the programme is used only by employers with a genuine need for specialised global talent and the ability to pay competitive wages.

The implications for foreign professionals, particularly those from India who constitute a large proportion of H-1B applicants, are significant. The changes introduce a new layer of uncertainty. For highly skilled, well-compensated applicants, prospects may actually improve under the new meritocratic system. However, for others, especially those in mid-tier wage brackets or roles, qualifying under the revised framework is expected to become more challenging.

What happens next? The new rules are anticipated to take effect from early 2026. Stakeholders are now awaiting further guidance from USCIS on navigating the intricacies of the new weighted selection process. The coming months will be crucial for companies and prospective applicants to understand and prepare for this paradigm shift in America's premier skilled work visa programme.