The 2026 assembly elections in five states have seen exit polls predicting a clear win for the Bharatiya Janata Party in Assam, while giving it a slight edge in West Bengal. In Tamil Nadu, the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam is forecast to retain power, and the United Democratic Front is expected to return to power in Kerala. The All India N.R. Congress-led National Democratic Alliance government is also predicted to retain Puducherry.
Assam: BJP Set for Another Term
Exit polls indicate that the BJP, led by Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, is poised to form the government again in Assam. The party is expected to secure a comfortable majority, continuing its dominance in the state. The opposition Congress and its allies are projected to fall short, despite a spirited campaign.
West Bengal: BJP Gains Ground
In West Bengal, the BJP is predicted to make significant inroads, potentially overtaking the ruling Trinamool Congress. The polls suggest a close contest, with the BJP having a slight advantage. Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's party faces anti-incumbency and internal challenges, while the BJP has capitalized on organizational strength and central support.
Tamil Nadu: DMK Returns
The DMK, led by Chief Minister M.K. Stalin, is forecast to return to power in Tamil Nadu. The exit polls show the DMK-led alliance winning a comfortable majority, with the opposition AIADMK and BJP trailing. The DMK's welfare schemes and governance record are seen as key factors.
Kerala: UDF Edges Ahead
In Kerala, the UDF, led by the Indian National Congress, is predicted to unseat the ruling Left Democratic Front. The polls give the UDF a narrow but decisive edge, with voters seemingly favoring change after five years of LDF rule. The BJP is expected to improve its vote share but not enough to win seats.
Puducherry: NDA Retains Power
In the Union Territory of Puducherry, the AINRC-led NDA government, under Chief Minister N. Rangaswamy, is projected to retain power. The alliance is expected to secure a majority in the 30-member assembly, fending off challenges from the DMK and Congress.
These exit polls, while not definitive, provide an early indication of voter sentiment. The actual results will be declared on May 2, 2026, and will determine the political landscape in these states for the next five years.
