Cyclone Threat Looms Over Bay of Bengal
The India Meteorological Department has issued a significant weather warning about a potential cyclone developing over the southeast Bay of Bengal. According to Sunday's alert, meteorological conditions are rapidly evolving that could lead to the formation of a cyclonic storm within the next 48 hours.
Current Weather System and Projections
A well-marked low-pressure area currently persists over the Strait of Malacca and adjoining South Andaman Sea. Weather scientists project this system will move in a west-northwest direction and intensify into a depression by Monday. The IMD's latest bulletin indicates this development could further strengthen into a full-fledged cyclonic storm over the Bay of Bengal within the following two days.
However, significant uncertainty remains regarding the exact path and potential impact of the developing weather system. "It is expected to become clear in subsequent days, after the system intensifies into depression or more," explained Manorama Mohanty, scientist and head of the regional IMD centre in Bhubaneswar.
Historical Context and Weather Patterns
Adding perspective to the current situation, Sarat Sahu, former director of the regional IMD centre, made an important historical observation. He claimed there has been no instance of a cyclone over the Bay of Bengal crossing the Odisha coast during winter, especially after November 15, in the last 100 years.
Sahu further highlighted the challenges in forecasting: "There is uncertainty on the possible system crossing the coast. Moreover, there is no uniformity or consistency among different models and they change frequently in the last few days amid fast changing weather developments."
Meteorologists are also monitoring the possibility of changes in wind patterns and dropping night temperatures, which could significantly influence the developing weather system's behavior.
Government Preparedness and Current Conditions
Revenue and disaster management minister Suresh Pujari confirmed that the state government is maintaining close surveillance on the developing weather system and remains prepared to handle any emergency situation. He indicated that a clearer picture would emerge in the coming days as the system develops.
Meanwhile, current weather conditions in Odisha show minimum temperatures continuing their rising trend, expected to persist for the next four to five days. Dry weather is forecast to prevail over the state until November 29, though chances of rain remain possible.
Jharsuguda recorded the state's lowest temperature at 14.1 degrees Celsius, while the capital city Bhubaneswar registered a minimum of 20.5°C, which is three degrees above normal. Morning hours witnessed dense fog in Khurda and Rourkela, affecting visibility in these regions.
As meteorological conditions continue to evolve, authorities urge residents to stay updated with the latest weather bulletins and follow official guidance from disaster management authorities.
