The electoral battleground of Madhubani constituency in Bihar has become the center of political attention as counting of votes begins today, with a fierce triangular contest determining the fate of three prominent candidates.
Three-Way Battle for Madhubani Seat
Madhubani assembly constituency is witnessing an intense political struggle between Samir Kumar Mahaseth of RJD, Madhav Anand representing RLM, and Anil Kumar Mishra from Jan Suraaj. The constituency recorded a substantial voter participation with 68.54% turnout according to official election data.
As per the latest available voting trends from early counting, Madhav Anand of RLM has taken an initial lead with 35,625 votes, while RJD's sitting MLA Samir Kumar Mahaseth trails with 31,086 votes. Jan Suraaj candidate Anil Kumar Mishra remains in third position with 2,792 votes according to data updated at 2:03 PM.
Exit Polls Predict NDA Dominance
Multiple exit poll surveys released on Tuesday indicate that the National Democratic Alliance is positioned for a significant victory in Bihar. The comprehensive poll of polls suggests NDA is likely to secure around 148 seats in the 243-member assembly.
The opposition Mahagathbandhan, led by RJD, is projected to win approximately 88 seats, while other smaller parties including Jan Suraaj may account for about 7 seats according to the aggregated predictions.
Detailed projections from various polling agencies present a consistent picture:
- People's Pulse forecasts 133-159 seats for NDA and 75-101 for Mahagathbandhan
- Dainik Bhaskar poll indicates 145-160 seats for NDA and 73-91 for opposition
- JVC-Polls predicts 135-150 seats for NDA and 88-103 for Mahagathbandhan
- Matrize projects 147-167 for NDA and 70-90 for opposition alliance
Madhubani's Electoral History and Demographics
The Madhubani assembly constituency represents a diverse mix of urban areas and surrounding villages, with significant populations of Brahmins, Muslims, Yadavs, Kayasthas, and approximately 13% Scheduled Caste voters.
In the 2020 assembly elections, the constituency had 3,46,962 registered electors with a 54.13% voter turnout resulting in 1,87,739 valid votes. The current contestant Samir Kumar Mahaseth of RJD had previously won the seat with 71,332 votes, defeating VIP candidate Suman Kumar Mahaseth who secured 64,518 votes by a margin of 6,814 votes.
Historically, the political contest in Madhubani has been predominantly bipolar between RJD and NDA constituent parties, though the current election has introduced a significant third dimension with Jan Suraaj's entry.
The Election Commission reported an overall 68.52% voter participation in the second phase of polling across 122 constituencies as of 5 PM on Tuesday, indicating strong democratic engagement across Bihar.
