US Jobs Growth Beats Forecasts Amid Iran War, Unemployment Steady at 4.3%
US Jobs Growth Beats Forecasts Amid Iran War, Unemployment Steady

America's employers added a stronger-than-expected 115,000 jobs in April despite economic uncertainty triggered by the Iran war, according to data released by the US labor department on Friday. The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.3 percent, while hiring beat economists' expectations of 65,000 new jobs, although it slowed from the revised 185,000 jobs added in March.

The latest data suggests the US labour market has remained resilient even as the conflict in West Asia disrupted global oil supplies and pushed average US gasoline prices above $4.50 a gallon this week.

Healthcare, Transport Sectors Lead Hiring

Healthcare companies added 37,000 jobs in April, while transportation and warehousing firms added 30,000 positions, according to the report. However, manufacturers cut 2,000 jobs during the month and have shed 66,000 jobs over the past year despite President Donald Trump's protectionist trade policies aimed at boosting factory employment.

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Average hourly earnings rose 0.2 percent from March and 3.6 percent year-on-year, broadly aligning with the Federal Reserve's inflation target. The labour force participation rate fell to 61.8 percent, its lowest level since October 2021, as retirements and tighter immigration policies reduced the number of people seeking work.

Iran War and Inflation Concerns Remain

Economists said the economy has so far weathered the impact of the Iran conflict better than expected, although risks remain if high energy prices persist.

"Businesses to some extent are viewing the conflict in Iran as temporary," Gus Faucher, chief economist at PNC, told AP. "We continue to see solid growth in consumer spending. And we're seeing strong business investment, particularly around tech and AI."

However, Faucher warned that "the longer conflict in Iran lasts, the higher energy prices go, the longer they stay elevated the greater the drag on the economy."

The Iran war sharply disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz after Iran closed the crucial route following US-Israeli strikes on February 28. The move caused oil prices to surge and raised fears of slower global economic growth.

Fed Likely to Hold Rates Steady

The stronger-than-expected jobs report is also expected to reduce pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates soon. Inflation climbed to 3.3 percent in March, its highest level in two years, driven largely by rising fuel prices.

Friday's employment data "actually makes it less likely that we see a rate cut anytime soon," Faucher said, adding that the Fed may prefer to focus on bringing inflation back towards its 2 percent target before easing borrowing costs.

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